Here's The Film Geek's Shoulda, Coulda, Will Win pick-ems for 2018:
Shoulda: "Call Me By Your Name" is beautifully shot and scripted, takes its time to tell a very emotional story, has remarkable acting and great cast chemistry. Contains at least three powerful scenes that move the audience.
Coulda: "Get Out" is a real long-shot, but people love a long-shot. I'm hedging a bit, because it's not a close-to-perfect flick, but it could surprise us down the stretch.
Will Win: "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri." Unforgettable individual performances and emotional content told simply. It's an academy member's dream movie.
Shoulda: Sally Rodgers, "The Shape of Water." Every moment she is on-screen is a jewel.
Coulda: Saoirse Ronan, "Lady Bird." How does one emote so well using a completely foreign accent? That's some acting.
Will Win: Frances McDormand, "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri." The Bethany College (WV) and Yale School of Drama graduate is a powerhouse.
Coulda: Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.” He carried a mediocre film on his back and turned it into something that was OK.
Will Win: Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour." This is Oldman's finest hour. He's so good, I forgot I wasn't really watching a bio-pic of Churchill.
Shoulda: Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Coulda: Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Will Win: Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
The first of only two categories where, I think, the person who should win will win. Janney wins in a battle of emotionally distant mothers.
Shoulda: Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri." His turn at a complicated, destructive deputy with a heart of gold was brilliant.